Samotsvety

What are the most important risks and precursors of global catastrophic risks each week? We parse millions of news pieces a week and discuss the most urgent ones with elite forecasters to find out.

Topics include: dragons, forecasting, traditional music, effective altruism

I write things about AI, policy, catastrophic risk, and forecasting.

About economics, game theory, and other things maybe.

Understanding and optimizing the world. Forecasting, tech, finance, effective altruism, and more.

Forecasting and the future of AI.

A newsletter about social science, the future, and why people behave in the way that they do.

A monthly newsletter on prediction markets and forecasting platforms: what they're up to, where they are going, and what they should be doing.