Samotsvety

A monthly newsletter on prediction markets and forecasting platforms: what they're up to, where they are going, and what they should be doing.

We identify and discuss the most important warning signs of global catastrophic risks for you by parsing millions of news pieces and discussing them with our elite forecasters.

Forecasting and the future of AI.

I write things about AI, policy, catastrophic risk, and forecasting.

A newsletter about social science, the future, and why people behave in the way that they do.

About economics, game theory, and other things.

Topics include: dragons, forecasting, traditional music, effective altruism

Understanding and optimizing the world. Forecasting, tech, finance, effective altruism, and more.